In 1935, Ernest Hemingway penned an article for Esquire magazine in which he predicted that a second world war would break out in 1937 or 1938. "The United States would doubtless be brought into it by a combination of propaganda, greed, and the desire to cure 'the impaired health of the state.' Modern war, said Ernest, is always planned and waged by 'demagogues and dictators who play on the patriotism of their people to mislead them into a belief in the great fallacy of war when all their vaunted reforms have failed to satisfy the people they misrule....'"
Carlos Baker, Ernest Hemingway: A Life Story, New York: Charles Scribner's Sons (1969), 275.
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